Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 6.719157 7.822019 9.013369 10.391628 11.937687 13.613930 15.564119
2026-01-25 5.022075 6.444377 8.100671 10.155293 12.617827 15.456094 18.955223
2026-02-01 3.970596 5.506221 7.402913 9.884233 13.007928 16.771196 21.605011
2026-02-08 3.233974 4.803122 6.843242 9.635888 13.298580 17.874029 23.948380
2026-02-15 2.652030 4.200846 6.312584 9.324709 13.422342 18.706509 25.925115
2026-02-22 2.313651 3.879618 6.105293 9.394058 14.008300 20.118359 28.663813
2026-03-01 2.026774 3.589166 5.898893 9.426120 14.517391 21.423232 31.287988
2026-03-08 1.798559 3.354536 5.741479 9.499510 15.066500 22.783593 34.017901
2026-03-15 1.589670 3.120897 5.556459 9.505520 15.501902 23.986437 36.558587
2026-03-22 1.464504 3.009103 5.545399 9.764146 16.307389 25.728560 39.898741
2026-03-29 1.342878 2.886642 5.502092 9.961673 17.020903 27.355308 43.120436
2026-04-05 1.208261 2.722369 5.371711 10.004689 17.490873 28.634167 45.874038
2026-04-12 1.032669 2.459074 5.050443 9.715465 17.431704 29.134634 47.527334
2026-04-19 0.890337 2.239612 4.782692 9.490950 17.454570 29.748819 49.358630
2026-04-26 0.763088 2.030843 4.511287 9.234493 17.402269 30.233452 50.997212
2026-05-03 0.655614 1.846678 4.265324 8.999613 17.364378 30.727305 52.651895
2026-05-10 0.556172 1.663198 3.999951 8.705396 17.202793 31.009090 53.976202
2026-05-17 0.504735 1.583956 3.933374 8.770956 17.656901 32.284497 56.877634
2026-05-24 0.455568 1.502020 3.852402 8.801268 18.046603 33.463475 59.655341
2026-05-31 0.414811 1.434630 3.794813 8.870657 18.505135 34.765799 62.660400
2026-06-07 0.373343 1.357934 3.708834 8.876339 18.845605 35.878868 65.387044
2026-06-14 0.352784 1.335811 3.741595 9.120909 19.630761 37.758597 69.401101
2026-06-21 0.329869 1.303001 3.746579 9.307745 20.314722 39.484649 73.204369